Numbers on Covid-19 cases and deaths: Israel and USA
Israel has a percentage of vaccinated that is close to 71%, not far from the limit of 80% which is a bit like the new Western mantra on the percentage of vaccinated. This country was also the one that first institutionalized the possibility of a third dose, but which seems to have some problems in handling cases.
Now we are reaching a new peak , quietly, in the silence of the Italian media (actually the FT has dedicated an interesting article on the subject):
We highlighted the January date when the peak was reached, but on January 11 there were already 9754 new cases, fewer than 1074 today.
Now surely today there are fewer deaths than on January 11, when we approached, for the first time, at the height of the cases. Let's see if it's true.
Today there were 24 deaths, up from 33 on 11 January. Of course, there are fewer, but certainly there was no "vaccination miracle". In general we note that there is a delay of 10-15 days, measurable empirically, but the peak in cases and the peak in deaths. If the peak of cases occurred from 11 to 20 January, the peak of deaths occurred from 20 to 27 January. So, if the current one is a peak of cases, we will see the peak of deaths, unfortunately, in early September.
This peak will be lower, we perish, also because the treatments have improved in the meantime, and the vaccine should have its validity in preventing the most serious cases. But we will know this, for sure only in a few days, at least a week.
In the meantime, however, the peak has been passed in the US, apparently:
These data appear to follow a prediction made a couple of weeks ago by Morgan Stanley
Let's consider that the US has a vaccinated population of 51.6% to date, with the most vaccinated state, Massachusetts with 67%, but Alabama with 36%. Yet the infections seem to have stabilized. Isn't it that the different vaccine mix, with a prevalence of Moderna, has had its weight or that vaccines are not as influential as you want to think?
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The article Numbers on Covid-19 cases and deaths: Israel and the USA comes from ScenariEconomici.it .
This is a machine translation of a post published on Scenari Economici at the URL https://scenarieconomici.it/numeri-sui-casi-e-sui-morti-covid-19-israele-e-usa/ on Wed, 25 Aug 2021 15:36:17 +0000.