All the electoral torments of Trump

All the electoral torments of Trump

What the New York Times writes about Trump's election concerns

President Trump is facing the darkest prospects for his candidacy for re-election, with his campaign team beginning to worry about his position in states like Ohio and Iowa, which he won by wide margins four years ago. , read on the NYT .

Trump's campaign recently embarked on a multimillion-dollar advertising effort in these two states and Arizona in hopes of improving its position, while shaking up its political operation and turning new attention to states such as Georgia, once considered reliable Republicans. Trump has been consistently unpopular as president with most Americans; in the midst of the human and economic devastation of the pandemic and now with a wave of demonstrations and social unrest in American cities, Trump has lagged significantly behind his democratic challenger, Joseph R. Biden Jr.

In private polls conducted by the Trump campaign, the president is now far behind Biden , according to reports from people informed of the results of the latest round of polls. Several public polls this week have revealed that Trump has chased Biden, the former vice president, with double-digit margins, including a Monmouth University poll released on Wednesday, which showed Biden up 11 percentage points. There are still five months to go in the presidential election and Trump, despite his political vulnerability, retains some important strengths as a candidate. As Biden's fundraising efforts have taken momentum, Trump is sitting on a much larger war booty and will resume fundraising in person next week. There is hardly any open dissent within the Republican Party, giving Trump a solid political base on the right from which he can attempt to rebuild his forces before the fall campaign. Signs of anxiety within Trump's team are evident across the electoral map. In recent weeks, the president's campaign has spent around $ 1.7 million on advertising in just three states that he won in 2016 – Ohio, Iowa and Arizona – which he hoped would not be contestable this year. Much of that money went to a two-week concentrate in Ohio, according to media tracking company Advertising Analytics. Spending in Ohio frightened many Republicans, given that Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by eight percentage points four years ago. Perhaps equally disturbing were Vice President Mike Pence's two trips to Georgia last month. The state has become a source of concern for Republicans, both because of the stakes in the presidential race, and because there are two seats in the Senate ahead of this year's elections, including one held by an unpopular nominated, the Senator Kelly Loeffler, who ran into a personal financial scandal. The fact that any of these states is competitive at this point is looming as a significant obstacle to Trump's reelection.

If he were to lose a state like Georgia, with his 16 constituency votes, or Arizona, with 11 votes, he could make a hole in Trump's map even if he had other states like Florida, North Carolina and the Wisconsin. A series of state-level polls released Wednesday by Fox News found Biden above Trump in Arizona by four percentage points, and slightly ahead of Trump in Ohio as well. The former vice president took a nine-point lead in Wisconsin, where Trump scored a victory over Clinton in 2016. Aaron Pickrell, a Democratic strategist from Ohio who helped lead the campaigns of former President Barack Obama, said that Trump's decision to move money into the state suggested how precarious his general position was. "I don't think anyone will question the fact that if Trump loses Ohio, there is no way out," said Pickrell. Polls released Wednesday show another worrying sign for Trump: His numbers have recently been eroded among white voters, prompted by continued erosion of graduate support. Monmouth's latest poll found Trump with the support of just 52 percent of white voters nationwide – five percentage points lower than his share in 2016, according to exit polls.

Trump has been lashing out against some of his political lieutenants for weeks, reports from people who saw his reactions, who were not allowed to speak publicly. He scolded them for the difficulty of the election campaign, comparing them unfavorably to the operation that concerned Biden. The president complained that his fundraising advantage had diminished, and indeed some of Trump's advisers were taken by surprise when Biden raised almost the same amount of money as the president in April. "Biden has a team of assassins and all I have is a defense," said Mr. Trump to his allies, with a view of Biden's campaign distinctly different from that of most Republicans and a good number of Democrats.

(Taken from the Eprcomunicazione foreign press review)

This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL on Sun, 07 Jun 2020 05:39:00 +0000.