I will explain to you how and why China maneuvers with Iran against Israel. Pelanda speaks
China's moves and objectives in an anti-Israel direction. Conversation with Carlo Pelanda, analyst, essayist and professor of economic geopolitics
If you want to understand something about the crisis in the Middle East, it will be best to pay attention to China's moves. As Carlo Pelanda, analyst, essayist and professor of economic geopolitics at the Guglielmo Marconi University explains in this interview with Start Magazine , Beijing played a role in triggering the conflict between Israel and Hamas, because it was aiming for "the big shot, that is sabotage the Cotton Route which will connect India, the Arabian Peninsula and Israel and which was launched under the aegis of the USA at the last G20. A project that China has already managed to slow down."
Who recognizes and supports Israel's right to defend itself today? Not the UN, apparently.
UN support is completely irrelevant. What matters is that Israel enjoys the support of all democracies and, albeit undeclared, of Sunni Arab countries. What is missing, however, is an agreement on how Israel should defend itself: everyone's interest is to avoid escalation.
The Americans are very busy on this front.
Yes and the Europeans too, although with a certain amount of ambiguity and with greater differentiations within them. Indeed, there is a convergence at the level of the enlarged G7, which includes India, in countering Iran's maneuvers.
Only Iran?
No, because Iran enjoys the support, albeit not overt, of China. This is also why Israel will have to destroy Hamas, provided they allow it. It is now a question of ensuring that Israel can achieve its objective without putting Arab countries whose public opinions are in revolt in difficulty.
Why should Israel destroy Hamas?
Because it must re-establish its ability to deter, so blatantly violated last October 7th. The question is how they will be allowed to do this, given that the traditional use of brute force is continually challenged. In theory, Israel should also destroy Iran, but the Americans won't allow it to do this. The allies have no problem if Israel attacks Syria or Lebanon, but with Iran it would be a completely different set of problems.
And how much do Arab countries matter in Israel's calculations?
Israel must be careful now not to damage the process of normalization of relations with the Arab world, which had reached the last mile. This also represents a constraint for the Jewish state. Israel has every interest in not being demonized by the Arab world. This is why the Israeli General Staff now has the task of studying a surgical way to eliminate Hamas, avoiding bloodbaths. Europe also wants Israel to be selective in its operations against Hamas.
Who is prevailing for now? Israel or its enemies?
If there is a winner in this crisis, it is China, which secretly gave Iran the green light to unleash hell.
But why would he do it?
Beijing's objective was to gain a wedge in the Middle East by proposing itself as an interlocutor in peace processes. But China was also aiming for the big coup, that is, sabotaging the Cotton Route which will connect India, the Arabian Peninsula and Israel and which was launched under the aegis of the USA at the last G20. A project that China has already managed to slow down. It is also for this reason that Israel, which considers that corridor to be in its national interest, will now keep the reins on its air force. But China also had another objective.
Which?
In supporting Iran's plans, while also managing to cleverly conceal its role, China also wanted to establish itself as a world power and as an interlocutor of the United States.
But doesn't China officially espouse non-interference in other countries' affairs?
China interferes in every way imaginable. And it does so in a much more sophisticated way than Russia. It is a very intelligent strategic actor, whose main interest is that there are many places of conflict in the world, in such a way as to disperse the attention and strength of the USA so that the latter does not concentrate on the Asian chessboard and therefore on China itself.
This is a machine translation from Italian language of a post published on Start Magazine at the URL https://www.startmag.it/mondo/vi-spiego-come-e-perche-la-cina-manovra-con-liran-contro-israele-parla-pelanda/ on Thu, 26 Oct 2023 06:46:47 +0000.